Innovation – Open view page

General information

Innovation ID367
Version ID281
Innovation TitleFish foresight modelling tools involving quantitative assessments of fish production and consumption patterns
Innovation description An innovative fish sector model that is less data-demanding while able to analyze scenarios and impacts of country’s fish sector​. Fish foresight modeling involves quantitative assessments of fish production and consumption patterns at global, regional and national levels. ​
Reporting Staff Chin Yee Chan (WF)
Year (Reporting)2019
Reporting statusApproved
Innovation TypeResearch and Communication Methodologies and Tools

Stage reached

Stage of InnovationStage 2: successful piloting
Year (Stage)2019
Stage DescriptionThe innovative model was first attempted in Zambia. The results were published in Marine Policy. Next, we worked on Egypt model in 2018. The model was applied to Nigeria during 2019.
Has a lead organizationyes
Lead OrganizationWorldFish
Top 5 contributorsAustralian National University

Contributions and mapping

All partners Australian National University-Academic Institutions (universities, colleges, etc.); CGIAR Research Program on Fish Agri-Food Systems-CGIAR Research Program (CRP) and Platforms; Independent / Not associated-Private Sector; International Food Policy Research Institute-CGIAR Center/Program (Center); WorldFish-CGIAR Center/Program (Center); Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation-Financing Institutions (including Foundations)
Main CRP CGIAR Research Program on Fish Agri-Food Systems
Flagship project FP1-Sustainable aquaculture
Cluster FP1-3-Aquaculture systems
Other CRPs-Flagships-Clusters

Scope

Geographic scopeNational
Regions
CountriesEgypt,Nigeria,Zambia

Targeted outcomes

Main Sub-IDO Increased household coping capacity to cope with shocks
Other Sub-IDO Reduced pre- and -post production losses, including those caused by climate change
Other Sub-IDO Increased resilience of agro-ecosystems and communities, especially those including smallholders

Evidences

EvidencesChan, C. et al., 2017. Presentation in: World Aquaculture Society Meetings (Cape Town, South Africa) 2017
[https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12348/3837]

"Chin Yee Chan, Hoang Long Chu, Nhuong Van Tran, Kai Ching Cheong. (14/6/2019). Future fish supply and demand in Nigeria. Bayan Lepas, Malaysia: WorldFish (WF).""Chin Yee Chan, Nhuong Van Tran, Shanali Pethiyagoda, Charles Crissman, Timothy Sulser, Michael Phillips. (1/3/2019). Prospects and challenges of fish for food security in Africa. Global Food Security, 20, pp. 17-25.""Chin Yee Chan, Hoang Long Chu, Kai Ching Cheong, Nhuong Tran, Michael Phillips. (15/1/2020). Nigeria fish 2020-2050: Foresight modeling and policy implications."

Linked Elements

Milestones
Outcome Impact Case
Policy